Riding profile
Wolverhampton North East
The question
Wolverhampton North East: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWolverhampton North East | 36.4% | 28.3% | 22.2% | 7.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +11.0 | 21.8% +6.5 | 19.3% +2.9 | 10.8% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wolverhampton North East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 36% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sureena Brackenridge
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sureena Brackenridge Elected | Labour | 14,282 | 42.9 | — |
| Jane Stevenson | Conservative | 8,860 | 26.6 | — |
| Paul Williams | Reform UK | 7,721 | 23.2 | — |
| Kwaku Tano-Yeboah | Green | 1,424 | 4.3 | — |
| Peter Thornton | Lib Dems | 1,002 | 3.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029