Wolverhampton North East
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a 86% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 80%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton North East | 34.5% | 31.7% | 22.3% | 6.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+8.0 | 22.3%+9.4 | 20.0%+2.3 | 9.7%−3.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 105,811 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 74.0% |
Current member
Sureena Brackenridge · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 16.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sureena Brackenridge Elected | Labour | 14,282 | 42.9 |
| Jane Stevenson | Conservative | 8,860 | 26.6 |
| Paul Williams | Reform UK | 7,721 | 23.2 |
| Kwaku Tano-Yeboah | Green | 1,424 | 4.3 |
| Peter Thornton | Lib Dems | 1,002 | 3.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, safe seat
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK, safe seat
- Wolverhampton West Labour, safe seat
- Dudley Reform UK, competitive
- Walsall and Bloxwich Reform UK, toss-up
- West Bromwich Labour, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated