Riding profile
Wolverhampton North East
The question
Wolverhampton North East: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Wolverhampton North East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 34% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sureena Brackenridge
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWolverhampton North East | 34.5% | 27.9% | 22.6% | 8.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +9.1 | 21.7% +6.2 | 18.9% +3.7 | 11.8% −3.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sureena Brackenridge Elected | Labour | 14,282 | 42.9 | — |
| Jane Stevenson | Conservative | 8,860 | 26.6 | — |
| Paul Williams | Reform UK | 7,721 | 23.2 | — |
| Kwaku Tano-Yeboah | Green | 1,424 | 4.3 | — |
| Peter Thornton | Lib Dems | 1,002 | 3.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029