Riding profile
Tipton and Wednesbury
The question
Tipton and Wednesbury: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Tipton and Wednesbury, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 36% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Antonia Bance
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTipton and Wednesbury | 36.0% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +10.7 | 21.7% +0.7 | 18.9% +2.7 | 11.8% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonia Bance Elected | Labour | 11,755 | 36.9 | — |
| Shaun Bailey | Conservative | 8,370 | 26.3 | — |
| Jack Sabharwal | Reform UK | 8,019 | 25.2 | — |
| Mark Redding | Green | 1,509 | 4.7 | — |
| Mohammed Hussain-Billa | Other | 945 | 3.0 | — |
| Abdul Husen | Other | 660 | 2.1 | — |
| Mark Rochell | Lib Dems | 592 | 1.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029