Riding profile
Stourbridge
The question
Stourbridge: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Stourbridge, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Cat Eccles
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.1
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereStourbridge | 30.5% | 26.4% | 24.5% | 8.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +5.2 | 18.9% +7.5 | 21.7% +2.8 | 11.8% −2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cat Eccles Elected | Labour | 15,338 | 38.5 | — |
| Suzanne Webb | Conservative | 12,265 | 30.8 | — |
| Richard Shaw | Reform UK | 7,869 | 19.7 | — |
| Stephen Price | Green | 1,732 | 4.3 | — |
| Christopher Bramall | Lib Dems | 1,607 | 4.0 | — |
| Mohammed Ramzan | Other | 1,067 | 2.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029