Riding profile
Melksham and Devizes
The question
Melksham and Devizes: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Melksham and Devizes, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 31% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Brian Mathew
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.1
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMelksham and Devizes | 30.8% | 27.8% | 25.3% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +19.2 | 18.9% +8.9 | 25.3% | 11.8% −3.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Mathew Elected | Lib Dems | 20,031 | 39.1 | — |
| Michelle Donelan | Conservative | 17,630 | 34.4 | — |
| Malcolm Cupis | Reform UK | 6,726 | 13.1 | — |
| Kerry Postlewhite | Labour | 4,587 | 9.0 | — |
| Catherine Read | Green | 2,229 | 4.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029