Riding profile
Mid Dorset and North Poole
The question
Mid Dorset and North Poole: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mid Dorset and North Poole, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Vikki Slade
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMid Dorset and North Poole | 34.4% | 32.1% | 16.4% | 7.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +22.8 | 18.9% +13.2 | 25.3% −9.0 | 11.8% −4.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikki Slade Elected | Lib Dems | 21,442 | 43.3 | — |
| Michael Tomlinson | Conservative | 20,090 | 40.6 | — |
| Candice Johnson-Cole | Labour | 4,566 | 9.2 | — |
| Ben Pantling | Green | 2,355 | 4.8 | — |
| John Dowling | Other | 1,061 | 2.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029