Riding profile
North Devon
The question
North Devon: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
North Devon, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ian Roome
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Devon | 34.3% | 26.8% | 23.3% | 7.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +22.7 | 25.3% +1.4 | 18.9% +4.4 | 11.8% −4.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Roome Elected | Lib Dems | 21,820 | 42.4 | — |
| Selaine Saxby | Conservative | 15,076 | 29.3 | — |
| Nigel James | Reform UK | 8,137 | 15.8 | — |
| Nicky Edwards | Labour | 3,216 | 6.3 | — |
| Cas Lay | Green | 2,348 | 4.6 | — |
| Steve Cotten | Other | 820 | 1.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029