Riding profile
North West Leicestershire
The question
North West Leicestershire: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
North West Leicestershire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Amanda Hack
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth West Leicestershire | 32.6% | 26.8% | 20.5% | 10.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +7.2 | 18.9% +7.9 | 21.7% −1.2 | 11.8% −1.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Hack Elected | Labour | 16,871 | 34.7 | — |
| Craig Smith | Conservative | 15,859 | 32.6 | — |
| Noel Matthews | Reform UK | 9,678 | 19.9 | — |
| Carl Benfield | Green | 2,831 | 5.8 | — |
| Alice Delemare | Lib Dems | 1,629 | 3.4 | — |
| Andrew Bridgen | Other | 1,568 | 3.2 | — |
| Siobhan Dillon | Other | 136 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029