Riding profile
Old Bexley and Sidcup
The question
Old Bexley and Sidcup: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereOld Bexley and Sidcup | 32.9% | 31.3% | 19.3% | 7.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +7.5 | 19.3% +11.9 | 21.8% −2.5 | 10.8% −3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Old Bexley and Sidcup, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 31% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mr Louie French
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie French Elected | Conservative | 17,910 | 37.6 | — |
| Edward Jones | Labour | 14,362 | 30.1 | — |
| Maxine Fothergill | Reform UK | 10,384 | 21.8 | — |
| Brad Davies | Green | 2,601 | 5.5 | — |
| Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett | Lib Dems | 1,927 | 4.0 | — |
| Laurent Williams | Other | 251 | 0.5 | — |
| Andrew Still | Other | 198 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029