Riding profile
Old Bexley and Sidcup
The question
Old Bexley and Sidcup: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Old Bexley and Sidcup, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 32% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mr Louie French
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereOld Bexley and Sidcup | 31.8% | 30.1% | 19.1% | 10.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.9 | 25.3% +4.8 | 21.7% −2.6 | 11.8% −1.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie French Elected | Conservative | 17,910 | 37.6 | — |
| Edward Jones | Labour | 14,362 | 30.1 | — |
| Maxine Fothergill | Reform UK | 10,384 | 21.8 | — |
| Brad Davies | Green | 2,601 | 5.5 | — |
| Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett | Lib Dems | 1,927 | 4.0 | — |
| Laurent Williams | Other | 251 | 0.5 | — |
| Andrew Still | Other | 198 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029