Riding profile
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
The question
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 32% vote share, against 31% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Luke Pollard
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePlymouth Sutton and Devonport | 31.7% | 31.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +10.1 | 25.3% +6.0 | 18.9% −6.2 | 11.8% +0.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Pollard Elected | Labour | 20,795 | 49.4 | — |
| Peter Gold | Reform UK | 7,467 | 17.7 | — |
| Gareth Streeter | Conservative | 6,873 | 16.3 | — |
| Cam Hayward | Green | 3,186 | 7.6 | — |
| Holly Greenberry-Pullen | Lib Dems | 2,441 | 5.8 | — |
| Chaz Singh | Other | 619 | 1.5 | — |
| Guy Haywood | Other | 311 | 0.7 | — |
| Alex Moore | Other | 220 | 0.5 | — |
| Robert Hawkins | Other | 183 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029