Riding profile
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
The question
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.9
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePlymouth Sutton and Devonport | 31.6% | 28.8% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +9.8 | 25.4% +3.4 | 10.8% +4.7 | 19.3% −6.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 32% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Luke Pollard
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Pollard Elected | Labour | 20,795 | 49.4 | — |
| Peter Gold | Reform UK | 7,467 | 17.7 | — |
| Gareth Streeter | Conservative | 6,873 | 16.3 | — |
| Cam Hayward | Green | 3,186 | 7.6 | — |
| Holly Greenberry-Pullen | Lib Dems | 2,441 | 5.8 | — |
| Chaz Singh | Other | 619 | 1.5 | — |
| Guy Haywood | Other | 311 | 0.7 | — |
| Alex Moore | Other | 220 | 0.5 | — |
| Robert Hawkins | Other | 183 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029