Riding profile
Torridge and Tavistock
The question
Torridge and Tavistock: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Torridge and Tavistock, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 30% vote share, against 25% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sir Geoffrey Cox
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.8
- P(close race)
- 78%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTorridge and Tavistock | 30.3% | 25.5% | 22.0% | 12.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +5.0 | 18.9% +6.6 | 11.6% +10.3 | 21.7% −9.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Cox Elected | Conservative | 16,049 | 31.6 | — |
| Phil Hutty | Lib Dems | 12,099 | 23.8 | — |
| Isabel Saxby | Labour | 10,765 | 21.2 | — |
| Andrew Jackson | Reform UK | 9,152 | 18.0 | — |
| Judy Maciejowska | Green | 2,350 | 4.6 | — |
| Alan Rayner | Other | 405 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029