Riding profile
Romford
The question
Romford: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Romford, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Andrew Rosindell
Sits with Reform UK
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.2
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRomford | 31.0% | 28.8% | 18.9% | 9.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +5.7 | 18.9% +9.9 | 21.7% −2.7 | 11.8% −2.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rosindell Elected | Conservative | 15,339 | 34.8 | — |
| Andrew Achilleos | Labour | 13,876 | 31.5 | — |
| Philip Hyde | Reform UK | 9,624 | 21.9 | — |
| David Hughes | Green | 2,220 | 5.0 | — |
| Thomas Clarke | Lib Dems | 1,895 | 4.3 | — |
| Zhafaran Qayum | Other | 898 | 2.0 | — |
| Colin Birch | Other | 195 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029