Riding profile

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough: a safe seat for Labour?

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
18.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 35.5%
  • Green 17.0%
  • Reform UK 15.1%
  • Other 14.2%
  • Conservative 12.6%
  • Lib Dems 5.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Other
HereSheffield Brightside and Hillsborough 35.5%17.0%15.1%14.2%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.8% +13.6 10.8% +6.2 25.4% −10.3 5.0% +9.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 17% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Gill Furniss

Sits with Labour

Since
2016-05-05
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
36.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-17.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Gill Furniss Elected Labour 16,301 51.6
Christine Kubo Green 4,701 14.9
Aaron Jacob Conservative 4,069 12.9
Maxine Bowler Other 2,537 8.0
Will Sapwell Lib Dems 1,694 5.4
Mark Tyler Other 1,437 4.5
Jeremy Turner Other 873 2.8

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
111,610
Median age
35
Employment rate
63.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029