Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough

Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 42.6%
  • Green 16.6%
  • Reform UK 14.3%
  • Other 12.0%
  • Conservative 10.3%
  • Lib Dems 3.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Green Reform UK Other
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough 42.6%16.6%14.3%12.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+16.2 9.7%+7.0 22.3%−8.0 5.1%+6.9

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population111,610
Median age35
Employment rate63.8%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Gill Furniss · Labour

In office since May 5, 2016. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 36.2 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 26.0 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Gill Furniss Elected Labour 16,301 51.6
Christine Kubo Green 4,701 14.9
Aaron Jacob Conservative 4,069 12.9
Maxine Bowler Other 2,537 8.0
Will Sapwell Lib Dems 1,694 5.4
Mark Tyler Other 1,437 4.6
Jeremy Turner Other 873 2.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated