Riding profile

Sheffield Central

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield Central: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Sheffield Central, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 37% vote share, against 35% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Abtisam Mohamed

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Green

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
3.4
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Green 36.5%
  • Labour 35.2%
  • Reform UK 9.8%
  • Lib Dems 7.0%
  • Other 6.7%
  • Conservative 4.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Green Labour Reform UK Lib Dems
HereSheffield Central 36.5%35.2%9.8%7.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 11.8% +24.7 21.7% +13.6 25.3% −15.5 11.6% −4.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
26.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-22.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Abtisam Mohamed Elected Labour 16,569 52.1
Angela Argenzio Green 8,283 26.0
Lucy Stephenson Conservative 2,339 7.3
Sam Christmas Lib Dems 2,174 6.8
Alison Teal Other 1,039 3.3
Caitlin Hardy Other 656 2.1
Isabelle France Other 409 1.3
Annie Stoker Other 334 1.1

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
92,926
Median age
26
Employment rate
74.3%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029