Riding profile

Sheffield Heeley

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield Heeley: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Sheffield Heeley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 40-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 25% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Louise Haigh

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
8.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 35.1%
  • Green 25.0%
  • Reform UK 14.2%
  • Conservative 10.7%
  • Lib Dems 9.2%
  • Other 5.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
HereSheffield Heeley 35.1%25.0%14.2%10.7%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +13.5 11.8% +13.1 25.3% −11.1 18.9% −8.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
39.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-31.6 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Louise Haigh Elected Labour 21,230 55.2
Alexi Dimond Green 5,926 15.4
Lorna Maginnis Conservative 5,242 13.6
Rebecca Atkinson Lib Dems 3,863 10.1
Helen Jackman Other 711 1.9
Steven Roy Other 594 1.5
Louise McDonald Other 482 1.3
Mick Suter Other 398 1.0

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
107,477
Median age
38
Employment rate
74.3%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029