Riding profile

Sheffield South East

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield South East: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Sheffield South East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 31% vote share, against 21% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Mr Clive Betts

Sits with Labour

Since
1992-04-09
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
8.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 31.2%
  • Reform UK 20.8%
  • Green 13.9%
  • Conservative 13.5%
  • Other 10.2%
  • Lib Dems 10.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Green Conservative
HereSheffield South East 31.2%20.8%13.9%13.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +9.5 25.3% −4.5 11.8% +2.1 18.9% −5.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
34.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Clive Betts Elected Labour 18,710 52.3
Caroline Kampila Conservative 6,252 17.5
Sophie Thornton Lib Dems 3,421 9.6
Hannah Nicklin Green 3,158 8.8
Jack Carrington Other 1,716 4.8
Muzafar Rahman Other 1,453 4.1
Matthew Leese Other 1,061 3.0

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
105,370
Median age
40
Employment rate
66.1%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029