Riding profile

Sheffield Hallam

UK constituency — England · Mixed · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield Hallam: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Sheffield Hallam, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for the Lib Dems, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Olivia Blake

Sits with Labour

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
4.2
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 33.3%
  • Lib Dems 27.3%
  • Green 14.3%
  • Reform UK 12.4%
  • Conservative 9.3%
  • Other 3.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Lib Dems Green Reform UK
HereSheffield Hallam 33.3%27.3%14.3%12.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +11.7 11.6% +15.6 11.8% +2.4 25.3% −13.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
15.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-11.6 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Olivia Blake Elected Labour 23,875 46.3
Shaffaq Mohammed Lib Dems 15,686 30.4
Issac Howarth Conservative 6,205 12.0
Jason Leman Green 4,491 8.7
Andrew Cowell Other 654 1.3
Sam Chapman Other 409 0.8
Mo Moui-Tabrizy Other 281 0.5

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
94,520
Median age
42
Employment rate
75.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029