Riding profile

Sheffield Hallam

UK constituency — England · Mixed · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Sheffield Hallam: a safe seat for Labour?

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 35.5%
  • Lib Dems 28.4%
  • Green 12.0%
  • Reform UK 10.6%
  • Conservative 9.5%
  • Other 3.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Lib Dems Green Reform UK
HereSheffield Hallam 35.5%28.4%12.0%10.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.8% +13.7 11.4% +17.0 10.8% +1.2 25.4% −14.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Sheffield Hallam, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 28% for the Lib Dems, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Olivia Blake

Sits with Labour

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
15.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Olivia Blake Elected Labour 23,875 46.3 —
Shaffaq Mohammed Lib Dems 15,686 30.4 —
Issac Howarth Conservative 6,205 12.0 —
Jason Leman Green 4,491 8.7 —
Andrew Cowell Other 654 1.3 —
Sam Chapman Other 409 0.8 —
Mo Moui-Tabrizy Other 281 0.5 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
94,520
Median age
42
Employment rate
75.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029