Riding profile
Shrewsbury
The question
Shrewsbury: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Shrewsbury, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Julia Buckley
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereShrewsbury | 29.0% | 26.6% | 18.8% | 13.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +7.4 | 25.3% +1.2 | 18.9% −0.1 | 11.6% +1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Buckley Elected | Labour | 22,932 | 44.5 | — |
| Daniel Kawczynski | Conservative | 11,577 | 22.4 | — |
| Victor Applegate | Reform UK | 7,524 | 14.6 | — |
| Alex Wagner | Lib Dems | 6,722 | 13.0 | — |
| Julian Dean | Green | 2,387 | 4.6 | — |
| Chris Bovill | Other | 241 | 0.5 | — |
| James Gollins | Other | 177 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029