Riding profile
Telford
The question
Telford: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Telford, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 37% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Shaun Davies
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTelford | 36.6% | 27.5% | 17.8% | 10.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +11.3 | 21.7% +5.8 | 18.9% −1.1 | 11.8% −1.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Davies Elected | Labour | 18,212 | 44.7 | — |
| Alan Adams | Reform UK | 10,110 | 24.8 | — |
| Hannah Campbell | Conservative | 8,728 | 21.4 | — |
| John Adams | Green | 2,120 | 5.2 | — |
| Jo McKenna | Lib Dems | 1,560 | 3.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029