Riding profile
The Wrekin
The question
The Wrekin: will Conservative lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
The Wrekin, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 32% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mark Pritchard
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.2
- P(close race)
- 12%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereThe Wrekin | 31.7% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 10.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +6.4 | 18.9% +7.6 | 21.7% −3.0 | 11.6% −1.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Pritchard Elected | Conservative | 16,320 | 32.6 | — |
| Roh Yakobi | Labour | 15,437 | 30.9 | — |
| Richard Leppington | Reform UK | 9,920 | 19.8 | — |
| Anthony Lowe | Lib Dems | 4,757 | 9.5 | — |
| Pat McCarthy | Green | 3,028 | 6.0 | — |
| Chris Shipley | Other | 558 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029