The Wrekin
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 75% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 98%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Wrekin | 29.1% | 27.7% | 23.6% | 8.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.0%+9.0 | 22.3%+5.5 | 26.5%−2.8 | 9.7%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,094 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 77.2% |
Current member
Mark Pritchard · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 1.8 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 1.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Pritchard Elected | Conservative | 16,320 | 32.6 |
| Roh Yakobi | Labour | 15,437 | 30.9 |
| Richard Leppington | Reform UK | 9,920 | 19.8 |
| Anthony Lowe | Lib Dems | 4,757 | 9.5 |
| Pat McCarthy | Green | 3,028 | 6.1 |
| Chris Shipley | Other | 558 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Telford Labour, toss-up
- Stafford Labour, toss-up
- Newcastle-under-Lyme Reform UK, toss-up
- North Shropshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- Crewe and Nantwich Labour, competitive
- Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated