Riding profile
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge
The question
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 39% vote share, against 19% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Gavin Williamson
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereStone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | 39.0% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 9.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +20.1 | 25.3% −6.3 | 21.7% −3.6 | 11.8% −2.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williamson Elected | Conservative | 19,880 | 46.5 | — |
| Jacqueline Brown | Labour | 14,414 | 33.7 | — |
| Sam Harper-Wallis | Lib Dems | 2,952 | 6.9 | — |
| Janice MacKay | Other | 2,638 | 6.2 | — |
| Danni Braine | Green | 2,236 | 5.2 | — |
| Alexander Bramham | Other | 650 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029