Riding profile
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge
The question
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereStone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | 36.6% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +17.3 | 21.8% −1.0 | 25.4% −5.5 | 10.8% −2.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 37% vote share, against 21% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Gavin Williamson
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williamson Elected | Conservative | 19,880 | 46.5 | — |
| Jacqueline Brown | Labour | 14,414 | 33.7 | — |
| Sam Harper-Wallis | Lib Dems | 2,952 | 6.9 | — |
| Janice MacKay | Other | 2,638 | 6.2 | — |
| Danni Braine | Green | 2,236 | 5.2 | — |
| Alexander Bramham | Other | 650 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029