Riding profile
Wallasey
The question
Wallasey: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWallasey | 41.6% | 29.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +19.8 | 25.4% +4.0 | 10.8% +0.2 | 19.3% −9.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wallasey, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dame Angela Eagle
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Eagle Elected | Labour | 24,674 | 57.7 | — |
| David Burgess-Joyce | Reform UK | 6,678 | 15.6 | — |
| Robbie Lammas | Conservative | 4,987 | 11.7 | — |
| Jane Turner | Green | 3,905 | 9.1 | — |
| Vicky Downie | Lib Dems | 1,843 | 4.3 | — |
| Philip Bimpson | Other | 462 | 1.1 | — |
| Ian Pugh | Other | 197 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029