Riding profile
Wetherby and Easingwold
The question
Wetherby and Easingwold: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWetherby and Easingwold | 34.0% | 27.0% | 18.1% | 11.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +14.7 | 25.4% +1.7 | 21.8% −3.8 | 10.8% +0.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wetherby and Easingwold, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Alec Shelbrooke
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Shelbrooke Elected | Conservative | 20,597 | 39.4 | — |
| Ben Pickles | Labour | 15,751 | 30.1 | — |
| Mike Jordan | Reform UK | 7,288 | 13.9 | — |
| Arnold Warneken | Green | 4,529 | 8.7 | — |
| James Monaghan | Lib Dems | 3,351 | 6.4 | — |
| John Hall | Other | 743 | 1.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029