Riding profile
Wetherby and Easingwold
The question
Wetherby and Easingwold: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Wetherby and Easingwold, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 33% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Alec Shelbrooke
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWetherby and Easingwold | 33.5% | 26.1% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +14.6 | 25.3% +0.8 | 21.7% −4.5 | 11.8% +2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Shelbrooke Elected | Conservative | 20,597 | 39.4 | — |
| Ben Pickles | Labour | 15,751 | 30.1 | — |
| Mike Jordan | Reform UK | 7,288 | 13.9 | — |
| Arnold Warneken | Green | 4,529 | 8.7 | — |
| James Monaghan | Lib Dems | 3,351 | 6.4 | — |
| John Hall | Other | 743 | 1.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029