Riding profile
East Antrim
The question
East Antrim: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
East Antrim, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with the UK_DUP Party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the UK_DUP Party ahead at 10% vote share, against 1% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sammy Wilson
Sits with DUP
Current forecast
UK_DUP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 87%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.2
- P(close race)
- 79%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Green | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Antrim | 10.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +5.5 | 11.8% −10.4 | 18.9% −18.7 | 21.7% −21.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Wilson Elected | DUP | 11,462 | 28.9 | — |
| Danny Donnelly | Alliance | 10,156 | 25.6 | — |
| John Stewart | UUP | 9,476 | 23.9 | — |
| Matthew Warwick | TUV | 4,135 | 10.4 | — |
| Oliver McMullan | Sinn Féin | 2,986 | 7.5 | — |
| Margaret McKillop | SDLP | 892 | 2.3 | — |
| Mark Bailey | Green | 568 | 1.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029