Riding profile
North Antrim
The question
North Antrim: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
North Antrim, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 29% vote share, against 0% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jim Allister
Sits with TUV
Current forecast
Other
Toss-up
- Probability
- 83%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 83%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Conservative | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Antrim | 29.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +24.6 | 18.9% −18.7 | 21.7% −21.5 | 11.6% −11.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Allister Elected | TUV | 11,642 | 28.3 | — |
| Ian Paisley | DUP | 11,192 | 27.2 | — |
| Philip McGuigan | Sinn Féin | 7,714 | 18.7 | — |
| Sian Mulholland | Alliance | 4,488 | 10.9 | — |
| Jackson Minford | UUP | 3,901 | 9.5 | — |
| Helen Maher | SDLP | 1,661 | 4.0 | — |
| Ráichéal Mhic Niocaill | Aontú | 451 | 1.1 | — |
| Tristan Morrow | Other | 136 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029