Riding profile
East Londonderry
The question
East Londonderry: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
East Londonderry, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with the UK_DUP Party in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the UK_DUP Party ahead at 13% vote share, against 1% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mr Gregory Campbell
Sits with DUP
Current forecast
UK_DUP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 55%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 82%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Green | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Londonderry | 12.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +8.2 | 11.8% −10.8 | 18.9% −18.3 | 21.7% −21.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Campbell Elected | DUP | 11,506 | 27.9 | — |
| Kathleen McGurk | Sinn Féin | 11,327 | 27.4 | — |
| Cara Hunter | SDLP | 5,260 | 12.7 | — |
| Allister Kyle | TUV | 4,363 | 10.6 | — |
| Richard Stewart | Alliance | 3,734 | 9.1 | — |
| Glen Miller | UUP | 3,412 | 8.3 | — |
| Gemma Brolly | Aontú | 1,043 | 2.5 | — |
| Jen McCahon | Green | 445 | 1.1 | — |
| Claire Scull | Conservative | 187 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029