Riding profile
West Tyrone
The question
West Tyrone: will Sinn Féin lose this seat to UK_SF?
Editorial read
West Tyrone, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with the UK_SF Party in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the UK_SF Party ahead at 7% vote share, against 0% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Órfhlaith Begley
Sits with Sinn Féin
Current forecast
UK_SF
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 35.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Conservative | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Tyrone | 7.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +2.7 | 18.9% −18.5 | 21.7% −21.5 | 11.6% −11.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Órfhlaith Begley Elected | Sinn Féin | 22,711 | 52.0 | — |
| Tom Buchanan | DUP | 6,794 | 15.6 | — |
| Daniel McCrossan | SDLP | 5,821 | 13.3 | — |
| Matthew Bell | UUP | 2,683 | 6.1 | — |
| Stevan Patterson | TUV | 2,530 | 5.8 | — |
| Stephen Donnelly | Alliance | 2,287 | 5.2 | — |
| Leza Houston | Aontú | 778 | 1.8 | — |
| Stephen Lynch | Conservative | 91 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029