Riding profile
North Down
The question
North Down: will Independent lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
North Down, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 47% vote share, against 3% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alex Easton
Sits with Independent
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Green | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Down | 47.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +42.2 | 11.8% −9.0 | 18.9% −18.7 | 21.7% −21.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Easton Elected | Other | 20,913 | 48.3 | — |
| Stephen Farry | Alliance | 13,608 | 31.4 | — |
| Tim Collins | UUP | 6,754 | 15.6 | — |
| Barry McKee | Green | 1,247 | 2.9 | — |
| Deirdre Vaughan | SDLP | 657 | 1.5 | — |
| Chris Carter | Other | 117 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029