Riding profile
South Down
The question
South Down: will Sinn Féin lose this seat to UK_SF?
Editorial read
South Down, a mixed constituency in Northern Ireland, elected a member with the UK_SF Party in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the UK_SF Party ahead at 6% vote share, against 1% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Chris Hazzard
Sits with Sinn Féin
Current forecast
UK_SF
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Green | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Down | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +1.1 | 11.8% −10.9 | 18.9% −18.6 | 21.7% −21.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hazzard Elected | Sinn Féin | 19,698 | 43.5 | — |
| Colin McGrath | SDLP | 10,418 | 23.0 | — |
| Diane Forsythe | DUP | 7,349 | 16.2 | — |
| Andrew McMurray | Alliance | 3,187 | 7.0 | — |
| Jim Wells | TUV | 1,893 | 4.2 | — |
| Michael O'Loan | UUP | 1,411 | 3.1 | — |
| Rosemary McGlone | Aontú | 797 | 1.8 | — |
| Declan Walsh | Green | 444 | 1.0 | — |
| Hannah Westropp | Conservative | 46 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029