Riding profile
Midlothian
The question
Midlothian: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Midlothian, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 28% vote share, against 25% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Kirsty McNeill
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMidlothian | 27.9% | 25.2% | 22.4% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +25.4 | 21.7% +3.5 | 25.3% −2.9 | 11.6% −3.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirsty McNeill Elected | Labour | 21,480 | 48.6 | — |
| Owen Thompson | SNP | 13,313 | 30.1 | — |
| Stefan Garbowski | Reform UK | 3,276 | 7.4 | — |
| Keith Cockburn | Conservative | 3,248 | 7.3 | — |
| Ross Laird | Lib Dems | 2,589 | 5.9 | — |
| Daniel Fraser | Other | 259 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029