Riding profile
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh
The question
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Chris Murray
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdinburgh East and Musselburgh | 29.4% | 27.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +26.8 | 21.7% +6.1 | 25.3% −12.9 | 11.8% −0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murray Elected | Labour | 18,790 | 41.2 | — |
| Tommy Sheppard | SNP | 15,075 | 33.1 | — |
| Amanda Grimm | Green | 4,669 | 10.2 | — |
| Marie-Clair Munro | Conservative | 2,598 | 5.7 | — |
| Derek Winton | Reform UK | 2,129 | 4.7 | — |
| Charles Dundas | Lib Dems | 1,949 | 4.3 | — |
| Jane Gould | Other | 365 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029