Riding profile
Aberdeen North
The question
Aberdeen North: a safe seat for the SNP?
Editorial read
Aberdeen North, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the SNP in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 31% vote share, against 18% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Kirsty Blackman
Sits with SNP
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAberdeen North | 30.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 11.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +28.2 | 25.3% −7.2 | 21.7% −4.3 | 18.9% −7.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirsty Blackman Elected | SNP | 14,533 | 34.5 | — |
| Lynn Thomson | Labour | 12,773 | 30.3 | — |
| Gillian Tebberen | Conservative | 5,881 | 14.0 | — |
| Kenneth Leggat | Reform UK | 3,781 | 9.0 | — |
| Desmond Bouse | Lib Dems | 2,583 | 6.1 | — |
| Esme Houston | Green | 1,275 | 3.0 | — |
| Charlie Abel | Other | 703 | 1.7 | — |
| Dawn Smith | Other | 352 | 0.8 | — |
| Lucas Grant | Other | 214 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029