Riding profile
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
The question
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry: a safe seat for the SNP?
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereArbroath and Broughty Ferry | 34.4% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 11.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.8% +31.7 | 25.4% −3.5 | 19.3% −2.0 | 21.8% −10.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the SNP in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 34% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Gethins Elected | SNP | 15,581 | 35.3 | — |
| Cheryl-Ann Cruickshank | Labour | 14,722 | 33.4 | — |
| Richard Brooks | Conservative | 6,841 | 15.5 | — |
| Gwen Wood | Reform UK | 3,800 | 8.6 | — |
| David Evans | Lib Dems | 2,249 | 5.1 | — |
| Ghazi Khan | Other | 693 | 1.6 | — |
| Moira Brown | Other | 231 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029