Riding profile
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
The question
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry: a safe seat for the SNP?
Editorial read
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the SNP in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 35% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereArbroath and Broughty Ferry | 35.5% | 25.4% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +32.9 | 25.3% +0.1 | 18.9% −4.6 | 21.7% −11.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Gethins Elected | SNP | 15,581 | 35.3 | — |
| Cheryl-Ann Cruickshank | Labour | 14,722 | 33.4 | — |
| Richard Brooks | Conservative | 6,841 | 15.5 | — |
| Gwen Wood | Reform UK | 3,800 | 8.6 | — |
| David Evans | Lib Dems | 2,249 | 5.1 | — |
| Ghazi Khan | Other | 693 | 1.6 | — |
| Moira Brown | Other | 231 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029