Riding profile
North East Fife
The question
North East Fife: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
North East Fife, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 53% vote share, against 20% for the SNP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Wendy Chamberlain
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 33.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth East Fife | 53.2% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +41.6 | 2.5% +17.2 | 25.3% −12.6 | 18.9% −13.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendy Chamberlain Elected | Lib Dems | 23,384 | 54.7 | — |
| Stefan Hoggan-Radu | SNP | 9,905 | 23.2 | — |
| Jennifer Gallagher | Labour | 4,026 | 9.4 | — |
| Matthew Wren | Reform UK | 2,094 | 4.9 | — |
| Bill Bowman | Conservative | 1,666 | 3.9 | — |
| Morven Ovenstone-Jones | Green | 1,653 | 3.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029