Riding profile
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
The question
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | SNP | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBerwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | 35.9% | 22.9% | 19.7% | 8.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +16.6 | 2.8% +20.2 | 25.4% −5.7 | 11.4% −2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 36% vote share, against 23% for the SNP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
John Lamont
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lamont Elected | Conservative | 18,872 | 40.5 | — |
| David Wilson | SNP | 12,273 | 26.4 | — |
| Caitlin Stott | Labour | 6,311 | 13.6 | — |
| Ray Georgeson | Lib Dems | 3,686 | 7.9 | — |
| Carolyn Grant | Reform UK | 3,340 | 7.2 | — |
| Neil MacKinnon | Green | 1,526 | 3.3 | — |
| Ellie Merton | Other | 329 | 0.7 | — |
| Hamish Goldie-Scot | Other | 221 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029