Riding profile
Gordon and Buchan
The question
Gordon and Buchan: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Gordon and Buchan, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 28% vote share, against 25% for the SNP, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Harriet Cross
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | SNP | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGordon and Buchan | 28.1% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 17.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +9.2 | 2.5% +22.6 | 25.3% −3.7 | 11.6% +5.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriet Cross Elected | Conservative | 14,418 | 32.9 | — |
| Richard Thomson | SNP | 13,540 | 30.9 | — |
| Conrad Wood | Lib Dems | 7,307 | 16.7 | — |
| Nurul Ali | Labour | 4,686 | 10.7 | — |
| Kris Callander | Reform UK | 3,897 | 8.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029