Riding profile
Edinburgh West
The question
Edinburgh West: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Edinburgh West, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 48% vote share, against 16% for the SNP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christine Jardine
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 32.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | SNP | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdinburgh West | 48.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +36.7 | 2.5% +13.5 | 25.3% −11.5 | 11.8% −4.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Jardine Elected | Lib Dems | 26,645 | 50.8 | — |
| Euan Hyslop | SNP | 10,175 | 19.4 | — |
| Michael Davidson | Labour | 7,854 | 15.0 | — |
| Alastair Shields | Conservative | 2,897 | 5.5 | — |
| Otto Inglis | Reform UK | 2,209 | 4.2 | — |
| James Puchowski | Green | 2,100 | 4.0 | — |
| David Henry | Other | 363 | 0.7 | — |
| Nick Hornig | Other | 143 | 0.3 | — |
| Tam Laird | Other | 85 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029