Riding profile
Livingston
The question
Livingston: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Editorial read
Livingston, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 30% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gregor Poynton
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.8
- P(close race)
- 7%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLivingston | 30.4% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 8.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +27.8 | 25.3% −0.5 | 21.7% −2.7 | 11.8% −3.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Poynton Elected | Labour | 18,324 | 40.9 | — |
| Hannah Bardell | SNP | 14,796 | 33.0 | — |
| David McLennan | Reform UK | 3,977 | 8.9 | — |
| Damian Doran-Timson | Conservative | 3,469 | 7.7 | — |
| Caron Lindsay | Lib Dems | 2,025 | 4.5 | — |
| Cameron Glasgow | Green | 1,704 | 3.8 | — |
| Debbie Ewen | Other | 545 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029