Riding profile
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
The question
Kilmarnock and Loudoun: will Labour lose this seat to SNP?
Editorial read
Kilmarnock and Loudoun, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the SNP ahead at 31% vote share, against 23% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Lillian Jones
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
SNP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKilmarnock and Loudoun | 31.4% | 23.0% | 22.8% | 8.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.5% +28.8 | 21.7% +1.3 | 25.3% −2.5 | 18.9% −10.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Jones Elected | Labour | 19,055 | 44.9 | — |
| Alan Brown | SNP | 13,936 | 32.8 | — |
| Jordan Cowie | Conservative | 3,527 | 8.3 | — |
| William Thomson | Reform UK | 3,472 | 8.2 | — |
| Bex Glen | Green | 1,237 | 2.9 | — |
| Edward Thornley | Lib Dems | 850 | 2.0 | — |
| Stephen McNamara | Other | 401 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029