Riding profile
Bangor Aberconwy
The question
Bangor Aberconwy: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Bangor Aberconwy, a mixed constituency in Wales, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Plaid Cymru ahead at 24% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Claire Hughes
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Plaid Cymru
Toss-up
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.4
- P(close race)
- 99%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Plaid Cymru | Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBangor Aberconwy | 24.2% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 17.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 1.0% +23.1 | 25.3% −3.5 | 18.9% −1.6 | 21.7% −4.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Hughes Elected | Labour | 14,008 | 33.6 | — |
| Catrin Wager | Plaid Cymru | 9,112 | 21.9 | — |
| Robin Millar | Conservative | 9,036 | 21.7 | — |
| John Clark | Reform UK | 6,091 | 14.6 | — |
| Rachael Roberts | Lib Dems | 1,524 | 3.7 | — |
| Petra Haig | Green | 1,361 | 3.3 | — |
| Kathrine Jones | Other | 424 | 1.0 | — |
| Steve Marshall | Other | 104 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029