Riding profile
Ynys Môn
The question
Ynys Môn: a safe seat for Plaid Cymru?
Current forecast
Plaid Cymru
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Plaid Cymru | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereYnys Môn | 31.1% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 12.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 1.2% +29.9 | 19.3% +2.6 | 25.4% −3.6 | 21.8% −9.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Ynys Môn, a mixed constituency in Wales, elected a member with Plaid Cymru in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Plaid Cymru ahead at 31% vote share, against 22% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Llinos Medi
Sits with Plaid Cymru
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llinos Medi Elected | Plaid Cymru | 10,590 | 32.5 | — |
| Virginia Crosbie | Conservative | 9,953 | 30.5 | — |
| Ieuan Williams | Labour | 7,619 | 23.4 | — |
| Emmett Jenner | Reform UK | 3,223 | 9.9 | — |
| Martin Schwaller | Green | 604 | 1.9 | — |
| Leena Farhat | Lib Dems | 439 | 1.4 | — |
| Sir Grumpus L Shorticus | Other | 156 | 0.5 | — |
| Sam Wood | Other | 44 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029