Bulkley Valley-Stikine

Provincial riding · British Columbia · North

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Bulkley Valley-Stikine will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 57.5%
NDP 41.6%
OTH 0.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 93% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	93%
50/50 blend	Con	96%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	OTH
Bulkley Valley-Stikine	57.5%	41.6%	0.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+10.4	40.3%+1.3	0.4%+0.5

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Sharon Hartwell · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 13.5 points, with 64.2% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 15.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Sharon L. Hartwell Elected	Con	—	52.3
Nathan Cullen	NDP	—	38.9
Gamlakyeltxw Wilhelm Marsden	GP	—	6.3
Rod Taylor	OTH	—	2.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Peace River North Con, safe seat
Nechako Lakes Con, safe seat
Skeena Con, safe seat
North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP, safe seat
Prince George-Mackenzie Con, safe seat
Peace River South Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026