Skeena
Provincial riding · British Columbia · North
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Skeena will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 84% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | 84% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | 92% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skeena | 49.8% | 39.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+2.8 | 40.3%−0.5 | 10.3%−3.3 | 1.3%+2.1 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Claire Rattée · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 6.8 points, with 55.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 10.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Rattée Elected | Con | — | 51.2 |
| Sarah Zimmerman | NDP | — | 44.4 |
| Teri Young | GP | — | 3.3 |
| Irwin Jeffrey | OTH | — | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP, safe seat
- Nechako Lakes Con, safe seat
- Bulkley Valley-Stikine Con, safe seat
- North Island Con, safe seat
- Peace River North Con, safe seat
- Prince George-North Cariboo Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated