Kamloops-North Thompson
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Kamloops-North Thompson will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamloops-North Thompson | 61.8% | 34.3% | 3.9% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+14.8 | 40.3%−6.0 | 1.3%+2.7 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Ward Stamer · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 26.8 points, with 61.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 27.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ward Stamer Elected | Con | — | 59.7 |
| Maddi Genn | NDP | — | 32.9 |
| Tristan Cavers | GP | — | 7.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Salmon Arm-Shuswap Con, safe seat
- Kamloops Centre Con, safe seat
- Prince George-Valemount Con, safe seat
- Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
- West Kelowna-Peachland Con, safe seat
- Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated