Kamloops Centre

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Kamloops Centre will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 47.0%
NDP 36.0%
GP 13.7%
OneBC 3.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 87% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	87%
50/50 blend	Con	94%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP	OneBC
Kamloops Centre	47.0%	36.0%	13.7%	3.2%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%	40.3%−4.3	10.3%+3.4	1.3%+2.0

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Peter Milobar · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 7.9 points, with 57.6% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 11.0 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Peter Milobar Elected	Con	—	48.8
Kamal Grewal	NDP	—	40.9
Randy Sunderman	GP	—	10.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

West Kelowna-Peachland Con, safe seat
Kelowna Centre Con, toss-up
Kamloops-North Thompson Con, safe seat
Boundary-Similkameen Con, competitive
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat
Penticton-Summerland Con, toss-up

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026