Kootenay-Monashee

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Kootenay-Monashee will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 47.2%
Con 37.2%
GP 12.7%
OneBC 2.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 65% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	65%
50/50 blend	NDP	82%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP	OneBC
Kootenay-Monashee	47.2%	37.2%	12.7%	2.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+7.0	47.0%−9.9	10.3%+2.4	1.3%+1.6

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Steve Morissette · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 13.2 points, with 60.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 10.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Steve Morissette Elected	NDP	—	52.0
Glen Byle	Con	—	38.9
Donovan Cavers	GP	—	9.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Kootenay Central NDP, toss-up
Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat
Kelowna-Mission Con, safe seat
Columbia River-Revelstoke Con, safe seat
Kelowna Centre Con, toss-up

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026