Columbia River-Revelstoke

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.

Live results

Results for Columbia River-Revelstoke will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 48.5%
NDP 40.0%
GP 11.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 80% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	80%
50/50 blend	Con	90%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP
Columbia River-Revelstoke	48.5%	40.0%	11.4%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+1.5	40.3%−0.3	10.3%+1.2

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Scott McInnis · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 3.7 points, with 58.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 8.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Scott McInnis Elected	Con	—	47.9
Andrea Dunlop	NDP	—	44.3
Calvin Beauchesne	GP	—	7.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Kootenay Central NDP, toss-up
Kootenay-Monashee NDP, safe seat
Salmon Arm-Shuswap Con, safe seat
Kootenay-Rockies Con, safe seat
Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026