Kootenay-Rockies

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 33.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Kootenay-Rockies will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 56.7%
NDP 23.7%
GP 12.2%
OneBC 4.2%
CentreBC 3.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 98% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	98%
50/50 blend	Con	> 99%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP	OneBC
Kootenay-Rockies	56.7%	23.7%	12.2%	4.2%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+9.7	40.3%−16.5	10.3%+1.9	1.3%+3.0

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Pete Davis · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 21.0 points, with 60.8% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 33.0 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Pete Davis Elected	Con	—	42.7
Tom Shypitka	OTH	—	30.4
Sam Atwal	NDP	—	21.8
Kerri Wall	GP	—	5.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Kootenay Central NDP, toss-up
Columbia River-Revelstoke Con, safe seat
Kootenay-Monashee NDP, safe seat
Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Salmon Arm-Shuswap Con, safe seat
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026