Kootenay Central

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 44%.

Live results

Results for Kootenay Central will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 38.8%
Con 33.5%
GP 24.7%
OneBC 2.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 50% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	50%
50/50 blend	NDP	75%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP	OneBC
Kootenay Central	38.8%	33.5%	24.7%	2.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%−1.4	47.0%−13.5	10.3%+14.4	1.3%+1.7

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Brittny Anderson · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 8.0 points, with 64.3% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 5.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Brittny Anderson Elected	NDP	—	39.6
Kelly Vandenberghe	Con	—	31.7
Nicole Charlwood	GP	—	18.7
Corinne Mori	OTH	—	10.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Columbia River-Revelstoke Con, safe seat
Kootenay-Monashee NDP, safe seat
Kootenay-Rockies Con, safe seat
Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Salmon Arm-Shuswap Con, safe seat
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026