Riding profile
Egmont
The question
Egmont: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEgmont | 53.3% | 34.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averagePrince Edward Island | 60.0% −6.7 | 28.3% +6.6 | 2.9% +0.1 | 2.6% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +5.3 | 32.1% +2.8 | 2.7% +0.3 | 10.6% −8.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Egmont, a rural riding in Prince Edward Island, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 35% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 4% francophone, 93% anglophone.
Sitting member
Robert Morrissey
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Morrissey Elected | Liberal | 12,466 | 51.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Logan McLellan | Conservative | 10,419 | 43.4 | Financial Advisor |
| Carol Rybinski | NDP | 585 | 2.4 | Restaurant Owner |
| Ranald MacFarlane | Green | 538 | 2.2 | Farmer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 3.6%
- Anglophone 93.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 3.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46