Riding profile

Egmont

Federal riding — PE · Rural · atlantic

The question

Egmont: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Egmont, a rural riding in Prince Edward Island, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 37% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 4% francophone, 93% anglophone.

Sitting member

Robert Morrissey

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
12.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 49.8%
  • Conservative 37.3%
  • NDP 3.8%
  • Green 2.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereEgmont 49.8%37.3%3.8%2.6%
Provincial averagePrince Edward Island 55.9% −6.0 30.5% +6.8 4.4% −0.6 2.6% +0.1
National averageCanada 41.9% +7.9 34.8% +2.5 14.2% −10.4 2.1% +0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
8.4 pts
Turnout
77.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Bobby Morrissey Elected Liberal 12,466 51.9 Parliamentarian
Logan McLellan Conservative 10,419 43.4 Financial Advisor
Carol Rybinski NDP 585 2.4 Restaurant Owner
Ranald MacFarlane Green 538 2.2 Farmer

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 3.6%
  • Anglophone 93.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 3.4%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46