Riding profile
Moncton--Dieppe
The question
Moncton--Dieppe: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 44.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMoncton--Dieppe | 67.8% | 23.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Provincial averageNew Brunswick | 55.9% +11.9 | 33.0% −9.9 | 2.8% +1.0 | 2.4% +0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +19.8 | 32.1% −9.0 | 10.6% −6.8 | 2.7% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Moncton--Dieppe, an urban riding in New Brunswick, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 68% vote share, against 23% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 26% francophone, 68% anglophone.
Sitting member
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginette Petitpas Taylor Elected | Liberal | 30,215 | 63.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Jocelyn Dionne | Conservative | 14,974 | 31.2 | Consultant (Self-Employed) |
| Serge Landry | NDP | 1,775 | 3.7 | Regional Representative for NB & PEI |
| Marshall Dunn | Green | 994 | 2.1 | Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 25.8%
- Anglophone 67.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 6.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46